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The monthly wholesale sales rate in the United States in October was -0.1%, and the previous value was revised from 0.30% to 0.5%. The monthly wholesale inventory rate in the United States in October was revised to 0.2%, expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was 0.20%.In 2025, the profits of the "Big Seven US Stocks" are expected to increase by only 18%. Investors are looking for new targets. It is predicted that the combined profits of the seven technology giants, namely Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla, will increase by only 18% in 2025, far lower than the 34% in 2024. Excluding NVIDIA, the biggest beneficiary of AI fanaticism, the combined profits of the other six companies will only increase by 3% in 2025. To this end, investors have begun to look for new investment targets, such as energy and biotechnology units. An 18% profit increase is a good performance for almost all industries, except for these large technology companies. At the same time, the profit increase of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is expected to reach 13%, higher than this year's 10%. In other words, these technology giants will no longer be the growth benchmarks of American companies. Julian McManus, portfolio manager of investment company Janus Henderson, said: "The Big Seven may not be the engine of market growth as it was in the past year." To this end, investors have responded. According to EPFR Global data, in the week ending December 4th, the IT sector suffered the largest capital outflow in six weeks, reaching $1.4 billion, while small-cap stocks attracted $4.6 billion in capital inflow. (Global Market Broadcast)Spot gold rose by 1.5% in the day to $2,672.85 per ounce.

Baotou Steel Group and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement to cooperate in the fields of rare earth digitalization and rare earth supply. On December 6, Baotou Steel Group signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. ("Huawei"). The signing of this strategic cooperation agreement between the two parties will cooperate in the fields of digital talent training, smart mines, data management, belt intelligence, rare earth digitalization and rare earth supply, and jointly promote the digital transformation of enterprises and the innovative development of both parties.Navigation warning: Military missions will be carried out in the northern part of the Yellow Sea in the Bohai Strait. According to the website of China Maritime Safety Administration, Dalian Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning. From 7: 00 on December 10 to 22: 00 on November 11, some waters in the northern part of the Yellow Sea in the Bohai Strait will be carried out on military missions, and it is forbidden to enter.Interpretation of Guangfa Strategy December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this may well mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened. Specific to economic work, the first priority is to "expand domestic demand", and the expression of "stabilize the property market and stock market" is more straightforward: the importance of expanding domestic demand is unquestionable, which alleviates the concern of "whether to only resolve risks and lack demand stimulation" in the early stage of the market; In September, the Politburo meeting stated that the stock market should strive to boost the capital market and the property market should "promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". This meeting was more direct in its determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market.

Societe Generale predicts that the S&P 500 will reach 6750 by the end of 2025.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.China's first oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold by Meituan, and the oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold in Meituan at 21: 00 on December 9th. At the same time, Telpotide, which is recognized by the industry as the "strongest rival" of Smegliptide, opened the first appointment in the US Mission. Users in some areas can make an appointment to go to the same city clinic for weight management. It is reported that the scheduled drug delivery service will be opened within one week. This is also the first appointment for the US Mission to win two star medicines again after Nuoheying (Simei Reduced Edition). According to the data of Meituan, the instantaneous search volume of Simei related products doubled from yesterday.